Aviation Research Demonstration Project(AvRDP)

A joint project between CAS and CAeM
WMO 

Mission

The overall mission of the AvRDP is to, through international collaboration, develop, demonstrate and quantify the benefits of end-to-end nowcasting aviation weather services for the terminal area focused on high impact weather. The AvRDP will focus on nowcasting aviation weather, including the respective uncertainty/confidence estimation, over the Terminal Control Area for the next 0-6hr. For simplicity, nowcast or nowcasting hereafter refers to all techniques/systems including observation-based, expert system-based, human-machine interfaced and meso/microscale NWP or any combination thereof which can generate high resolution, rapidly updated forecasts for the next 0-6hr ahead. This definition of nowcast/nowcasting is in accordance with the definition/practice adopted in WWRP and the nowcasting community.

Organization Structure

Science Plan

Science Plan detail (New)

Implementation Plan

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Nov 2014 Endorsement of the AvRDP proposal
Nov 2014 - Feb 2015 Formation of AvRDP SSC and identification of AvRDP Participants
June 2015 Kick-off Meeting cum Science Meeting
June 2015 - July 2017 Phase I - MET capacity research

(AvRDP Airports or Participants who need longer preparation time may choose to enter Phase I in late 2015 or after)

May 2015 - Oct 2015 1st IOP for convective weather (over Airports in Northern Hemisphere)
Nov 2015 - Mar 2016 1st IOP for winter weather, visibility and ceiling (over Airports in Northern Hemisphere)
Dec 2015 - Mar 2016 2nd IOP for convective weather (Southern Hemisphere)
May 2016 - Jul 2016 3rd IOP for convective weather (Northern Hemisphere)
Nov 2016 - Mar 2017 2nd IOP for winter weather, visibility and ceiling (Northern Hemisphere)
May 2015 - July 2017 Nowcasting research including MET verification on convective weather
Nov 2015 - July 2017 Nowcasting research including MET verification on winter weather, visibility and ceiling
20 - 22 Jul 2016 AvRDP Training Workshop on aviation nowcasting and verification
22 - 23 Jul 2016 2nd AvRDP SSC Meeting
25 - 29 Jul 2016 Preliminary Phase I results to be presented in WWRP Symposium on Nowcasting and Very-short-range Forecast
6 - 10 Nov 2017 WMO CAS/CAeM/CBS Aeronautical Meteorological Scientific Conference (AeroMetSci Conf)
Nov 2017+ Phase I To be expanded after the Scientific Conference
Jul 2016 - Jun 2019 Phase II - MET-ATM impact translation and validation

To be expanded after the WMO AeroMetSci Conf

(AvRDP Airports or Participants who started the IOP in late 2015 or later may choose to enter Phase II in late 2016)

Jul 2016 - Jun 2019 Research on MET-ATM impact translation
Jul 2017 - Jun 2019 Demonstration of MET-ATM impact
Early 2018 - Mid 2018
Jan - Feb 18 IGI Fog nowcast and forecast
Jun - Aug 18 SIN IOP and forecasting for convective weather
Sep - Oct 18 SIN performance evaluation and fine-tuning
Nov - Dec 18 SIN results and final report preparation for Phase II
Feb - May 18 LED IOP. Visibility and Ceiling nowcast
Apr - Jun 18 IGI thunsertorm and dust storm nowcast/forecast
Early 2018 - Mid 2019
Aug - Dec 18 LED Analysis and verification. Nowcasting data translation into ATM system
Jan - Mar 19 SIN operational trial on MET impact translation on ATFM and airside operation
Apr - May 19 SIN Review and data analytic
Jun 19 SIN Final Report
?? IGI Thunderstorm dust storm ATM Impact
?? IGI Fog ATM Impact
Oct 2018 2nd AvRDP Training Workshop on MET-ATM integration
Mid 2019 Concluding Meeting
Oct 2018 2nd AvRDP Training Workshop on MET-ATM integration
Mid 2019 Concluding Meeting
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